2024年全球合作晴雨表WEF_The_Global_Cooperation_Barometer_2024-英.docx

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1、WQRLDECONOMICFQRUMIncollaborationwithMcKinsey&CompanyTheGlobalCooperationBarometer2024INSIGHTREPORTJANUARY2024Images:GettyImagesContentsForeword3AbouttheGlobalCooperationBarometer4Executivesummary6Introduction:Thestateofglobalcooperation7Fivepillarsofglobaloperation9Pillar1Tradeandcapital9Pillar2Inn

2、ovationandtechnology11Pillar3Climateandnaturalcapital13Pillar4Healthandwellness15Pillar5Peaceandsecurity17Conclusion:Towardsamoreoperativefuture19Appendix:Sourcesandmethodology20Contributors22Endnotes23DisclaimerThisdocumentispublishedbytheWorldEnomicForumasacontributiontoaproject,insightareaorinter

3、action.Thefindings,interpretationsandndusionsexpressedhereinarearesultofacollatorativeprocessfacilitatedandendorsedbytheWorldEomicForumbutwhoseresultsdonotnecessarilyrepresenttheviewsoftheWorldEconomicForum,northeentiretyofitsMembers,Partnersorotherstakeholders.2024WorldEconomicForum.Allrightsreserv

4、ed.NopartofthispublicationmaybereproducedOrtransmittedinanyformorbyanymeans,includingphotocopyingandrerding,orbyanyinformationstorageandretrievalsystem.January 2024TheGlobalCooperationBarometer2024ForewordBob Sternfels Global Managing Partner, McKinsey & CompanyBorgeBrendePresident,WorldEconomicForu

5、m Leaders in business and government will need to recognize where the contours of opposition end and those of alignment begin to navigate through the geopolitical turbulence and also to shape a more cooperative future.ThelaunchoftheGlobalCooperationBarometercomesatthestartofacrucialyear,amidaperiodo

6、fimmensegeopolitical,geo-economicandmarketuncertainty,whenthebedrockofwhatwasonceastableglobalsystemisshiftingunderfoot.Leadersinthepublicandprivatesectorswillneedtogainfluencyinthedynamicsdrivingthechangestonotjuststabilizetheirposition,buttobeequippedtoshapeabeneficialfuture.Itisnosecretthatthecur

7、rentglobalcontextisconcerning,asheightenedcompetitionandconflictappeartobereplacingcooperation.Theresultisthatnewpowerdynamics,changingdemographicrealitiesandbreakthroughfrontiertechnologiesareraisingthetemperatureonlong-simmeringdistrustratherthanfuelingopportunitiesforbenefit.Manybusinessesareresp

8、ondingtothesecomplicated-andoftenfraught-geopoliticaldevelopmentsbyshiftingoperationsandfacilitiesclosertohome.Yet,althoughtheworldisheadingtowardsadangerousdividebysomemeasures,elsewherethereareprospectsforandprogressoncooperativearrangements.Forinstance,forthefirsttimesincecountriesbeganmeetingtoa

9、ddressglobalwarming,anagreementwasreachedattheCOP28climatechangeconferenceontransitioningawayfromfossilfuels.Thatcooperationandconfrontationcancoexistshouldnotcomeasasurprise.Historyisrepletewithpartiesatoddswithoneanother,butstillseekingopportunitiesforcollaboration.Notably,attheheightoftheColdWar,

10、theUnitedStatesandtheSovietUnioncoordinatedoneradicatingsmallpoxandaddressingtheozonelayerintheatmosphere.Andmanycompaniesthatcompetewithoneanotheralsofindwaystocooperateinareasofmutualbenefit.Itiswithintoday,scomplexgeopoliticalcontextthatgaininganunderstandingoftheshapeofglobalcooperation-andcompe

11、tition-isvital.Leadersinbusinessandgovernmentwillneedtorecognizewherethecontoursofoppositionendandthoseofalignmentbegintonavigatethroughthegeopoliticalturbulenceandalsotoshapeamorecooperativefuture.ItisforthisreasonthattheWorldEconomicForumandMcKinsey&CompanydevelopedtheGlobalCooperationBarometer.Th

12、epurposeofthisanalysis,whichuses42indicatorstomeasurethestateofglobalcooperationbroadlyandalongfiveareas,istohelpstakeholdersinbusinessandgovernmentgainabetterunderstandingofthenatureofcooperationthatis,orisnot,takingplace.OurhopeisthattheGlobalCooperationBarometerwillofferstakeholdersatooltouseinsh

13、apingahealthier,moreprosperousandmoresustainableworldintheyearaheadandbeyond.AbouttheGlobalCooperationBarometerTheGlobalCooperationBarometerisstructuredalongfivedimensionsofglobalconnection:tradeandcapital,innovationandtechnology,climateandnaturalcapital,healthandwellness,andpeaceandsecurity.Thesefi

14、vepillarswerechosenbecauseoftheirimpactonglobaldevelopmentandtheirexplicitdependenceoncooperativeeffortsamongnationsandeconomies.Asaguidingelementintheanalysis,thebarometeridentifiedgoalsthatactorsareworkingtowardineachofthesethemes.Indoingso,thebarometerdrawsinspirationfromtheUnitedNationsSustainab

15、leDevelopmentGoalsandtheeffortsofotherglobalinstitutions.Toquantifychangeinthesepillars,42indicatorswereidentifiedthatresearchsuggestsareeithercooperativeactionsthatadvanceprogressonthegoalsofthepillarsordemonstrateabroadoutcomefromthoseactions.Cooperativeactionmetricsmeasureactionsthatprovideeviden

16、ceofoperation;theseindicators(suchasflowsofgoodsandexchangeofintellectualproperty)areevidenceofreal,manifestedcooperationanddonotinclude“onpaper”commitments.Otmemetrics(suchaslifeexpectancy)measuretheprogressofcooperation,buttypicallyareinfluencedbyadditionalfactorsbeyondjustcperation.Themetricsspancountriesinallgeogra