世界银行-全球灾后损失评估（GRADE）报告：阿富汗赫拉特6.3级地震序列2023年10月（英）..docx

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1、PZOJZalnso-osQo=qndGFDRR W醺逊吧”Mw 6.3 Herat Earthquake Sequence in Afghanistan, October 2023JapanGov1H CXMfcHMlNl L ATpzoq alnsoosQo=qnQ-pzzo号 alnsoosQ-qndQq_qndARTFFGlobalRApidPost-DisasterDamageEstimation(GRADE)ReportDisclaimer2023InternationalBankforReconstructionandDevelopment/TheWorldBank1818HSt

2、reetNWWashingtonDC20433Telephone:Internet:WWW.woddbank.orgThisworkisaproductofthestaffofTheWorldBankandtheGlobalFacilityforDisasterReductionandRevery(GFDRR)withexternalcontributions.Thefindings,analysisandnclusionsexpressedinthisdocumentdonotnecessarilyreflectteviewsofanyindividualpartnerorganizatio

3、nofTheWorldBank,itsBoardofDirectors,orthegovernmentstheyrepresent.AlthoughteWorldBankandGFDRRmakereasonableeffortstoensureallteinformationpresentedinthisdocumentisrrect,itsaccuracyandintegritycannotbeguaranteed.Useofanydataorinformationfromtisdocumentisattheusersownriskandundernocircumstancesshallth

4、eWorldBank,GFDRRoranyofitspartnersbeliableforanyloss,damage,liabilityorexpenseincurredorSUfferedwhichisdaimedtoresultfromrelianceonthedatacontainedinthisdocument.Theboundaries,colors,denomination,andotherinformationshowninanymapinthisworkdonotimplyanyjudgmentonthepartofTheWorldBankconcerningthelegal

5、statusofanyterritoryortheendorsementoracceptanceofsuchboundaries.RIGHTSANDPERMISSIONSThematerialinthisworkissubjecttocopyright.BecauseTheWorldBankencouragesdisseminationofitsknowledge,thisworkmaybereproduced,inwholeorinpart,fornoncommercialpurposesaslongasfullattributiontothisworkisgiven.GlobalRApid

6、Post-DisasterDamageEstimation(GRADE)ReportMw6.3HeratEarthquakeSequenceinAfghanistan,October2023AcknowledgementsThisreportwaspreparedbyaWorldBankteamledbyRashminGunasekera(SeniorDisasterRiskManagementSpecialist,GlobalFacilityforDisasterReductionandRecovery-GFDRR)andOscarAnilIshizawaEscudero(SeniorDis

7、asterRiskManagementSpecialist,GFDRR).TheteamiscomprisedofJamesDaniellzAntoniosPomoniszJohannesBrand,AndreasSchaefer,BanKhazai,RoberthRomero,MarieJohannaGuthzDianaCubasandKerriCoxoftheGFDRR,sGlobalProgramforDisasterRiskAnalyticsandtheWorldBanksDisasterResilienceAnalyticsandSolutions(D-RAS)team.Editor

8、ialsupportwasprovidedbyL.Lau.TheassessmentreceivedfinancialsupportfromGFDRRzAfghanistanResilienceTrustFund(ARTF)zandtheMinistryofFinanceofJapanthroughtheJapan-WorldBankProgramforMainstreamingDisasterRiskManagementinDevelopingCountries.WealsothankthepeerreviewersfromtheWorldBankPhilippPeterman(Senior

9、DisasterRiskManagementSpecialist,SMNUR)andJianVun(SeniorDisasterRiskManagementSpecialist,SEAUl).TheteamgratefullyacknowledgestheguidanceandcontributionofthefollowingWorldBankcolleagues:MelindaGood(CountryDirector,SACKB);AbhasJha(PracticeManager,SSACD);NielsB.Holm-Nielsen(PracticeManager,GFDRR);Abeda

10、lrazqF.Khalil(PracticeManager,SSAUl);OlivierLavinal(ProgramLeaderforSustainableDevelopment,SSADR);Yunziyi(Lisa)Lang(ClimateChangeSpecialist,SSACD);ElifAyhan(SeniorDisasterRiskManagementSpecialist,SSACD);TahirAkbar(SeniorUrbanSpecialist,SACUl);IguniwariThomasEkeu-Wei(ClimateChangeSpecialist,SSACD);Ca

11、rinaFonsecaFerreira(DisasterRiskManagementSpecialist,SSACD);EfremFerrari(Consultant,SSACD);ZoeEenaTrohanis(LeadDisasterRiskManagementSpecialist,GFDRR);MirthaLilianaEscobar(SeniorDisasterRiskManagementSpecialist,GFDRR);MaryElinorBoyer(DisasterRiskManagementSpecialist,GFDRR);LaraSophieMahaLoussert(Con

12、sultant,GFDRR);PolNadalCros(Consultant;GFDRR);KeikoSaito(SeniorDisasterRiskManagementSpecialist,GFDRR);MikaIwasaki(SeniorProgramOcer,GFDRR);YokoKobayashi(SeniorExternalAffairsOcerzGFDRR),PatriciaAnneJaner(Consultant,GCSIMA);ElenaKaraban(Manager,ECRSA);DianaYa-WaiChung(SeniorExternalAffairsOcerzECRSA

13、);andAbdullahYadgare(ExternalAffairsOcerzECRSA).Abbreviations11.0ExecutiveSummary11.1KeyHighlights12.1 Introduction42.1 EventCharacteristicsandDescriptions42.2 HumanandSectoralImpactofEarthquakeinAfghanistan52.3 Fragility,Conflict,andViolence(FCV)Context82.4 Socio-economicVulnerabilityandConsiderati

14、ons92.2 Post-DisasterRapidDamageEstimationMethodology123.1 Methodology123.2 BuildingBackBetterConsiderations154.0ResultsandInterpretation164.1SummaryofResults161O4.2 InterpretationofResultsandImpacts4.3 BriefComparisontotheGFDRRMulti-HazardRiskAssessment(MHRA)Profile205.0Conclusions225.1 EventSummar

15、y225.2 DamageCosts22References23Annex A: DevelopmentofSocialVulnerabilityIndex24Annex B: DataSources28AnnexCiAfghanistanExposureModel30AnnexD:HistoricalEarthqaukesinAfghanistan31Abbreviationscso：CentralStatisticsOceD-RAS:EMS:EMSC:Disaster-ResilienceAnalytics&SolutionsTeam,GPURL,WorldBankEuropeanMacroseismicIntensityScaleEuropean-MediterraneanSeismologicalCentreFAO:GFDRR:GPRL:GRADE:FoodandAgricultureOrganizationGlobalFacilityforDisasterReductionandRecoveryUrban,DisasterRiskManagement,ResilienceandLandGlobalPracticeGlobalRApidpost-disasterDamageEstimationICT:InformationandCommunicationTechno